Green-lipped mussels account for ~76% of the total export value of NZ aquaculture (~NZ $ 281 million). The clubbed sea squirt, Styela clava, and the Mediterranean fanworm, Sabella spallanzanii, present threats to production. Both species can form heavy infestations on seed socks, growing lines and on the mussels themselves. Their distribution in New Zealand is currently limited and they have yet to infest many of the major mussel growing areas, but they are spreading steadily.
This study combined outputs from farm infestation and ecosystem energy budget models with partial budgeting and equilibrium models to forecast potential cumulative economic impacts of the fouling pests on producers and export markets for mussels. Societal impacts were also estimated to reflect changes in producer and consumer surplus after adjustment to altered market prices.
The forecasts suggested that uncontrolled spread of the two species could lead to direct impacts on producers of $26.4 m, and possibly up to $99 m over a 24 year period. Societal impacts at the market level were estimated to be $10.7 m over the same period.
The research is published as an Open Access feature article in the journal Aquaculture Environment Interactions. Funding was provided by MBIE Contract CO1X1511 (What's at stake?) and by NIWA through the Strategic Science Investment Fund [Coasts and Oceans Research Programme 6 (Marine Biosecurity)].
Tarek Soliman | Graeme Inglis |
Landcare Research | NIWA |
[email protected] | [email protected] |